Intest Res.  2024 Jan;22(1):82-91. 10.5217/ir.2023.00093.

Effectiveness of transabdominal ultrasonography in predicting clinical relapse of Crohn’s disease

Affiliations
  • 1Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Hokkaido University Hospital, Sapporo, Japan
  • 2Division of Laboratory and Transfusion Medicine, Hokkaido University Hospital, Sapporo, Japan
  • 3Diagnostic Center for Sonography, Hokkaido University Hospital, Sapporo, Japan

Abstract

Background/Aims
Transabdominal ultrasonography (US) helps evaluate Crohn’s disease (CD) activity. We investigated whether the US could predict subsequent adverse outcomes for patients with CD in clinical remission.
Methods
This single-center retrospective study included patients with CD in clinical remission who underwent US between April 2011 and April 2021, focusing on the predictability of subsequent adverse outcomes within 5 years. We used the US-CD, which was calculated using multiple US findings. Predictive variables were assessed using Cox proportional hazards regression analysis, and the predictive value was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic curves.
Results
Seventy-three patients were included. During a median follow-up of 1,441 days (range, 41–1,825 days), 16.4% (12/73) experienced clinical relapse, 9.6% (7/73) required endoscopic balloon dilation (EBD), 58.9% (43/73) required enhanced treatment, and 20.5% (15/73) underwent surgery. In the multivariate analysis, US-CD was significantly associated with clinical relapse (P= 0.038) and the need for enhanced treatment (P= 0.005). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for predicting clinical relapse and the need for EBD was 0.77 and 0.81, respectively, with US-CD (cutoff value = 11), and that for requiring enhanced treatment was 0.74 with US-CD (cutoff value = 6). Patients with US-CD ≥ 11 demonstrated a significantly higher occurrence of clinical relapse (P= 0.001) and EBD (P= 0.002) within 5 years. Patients with US-CD ≥ 6 experienced a significantly higher likelihood of requiring enhanced treatment (P< 0.001) within 5 years.
Conclusions
High US-CD is associated with subsequent adverse outcomes in patients with CD.

Keyword

Ultrasonography; Crohn disease; Clinical relapse; Endoscopic balloon dilation

Figure

  • Fig. 1. Grading system of color Doppler signal. Examples of the semi-quantitative grading system of the color Doppler signals in the intestinal wall. Region of interest is shown as a 1-cm yellow square. Grade 0=no color Doppler signal; Grade 1=few spotty signals; Grade 2=confluent vessel signals in less than half of the bowel wall area; Grade 3=confluent vessel signals in more than half of the bowel wall area. Adapted from Yamanashi K, et al. J Ultrasound Med 2021;40:2595-2605, with permission from John Wiley and Sons [24].

  • Fig. 2. Kaplan-Meier analysis of the effect of ultrasonography (US)-Crohn’s disease (CD) on clinical relapse-free survival, endoscopic balloon dilation (EBD)-free survival, enhanced treatment-free survival, and surgery-free survival. (A) Kaplan-Meier curves illustrateing subsequent clinical relapse-free survival among 73 patients with CD in patients with US-CD ≥11 or not. (B) Kaplan-Meier curves illustrating subsequent EBD-free survival among 73 patients with CD in patients with US-CD ≥11 or not. (C) Kaplan-Meier curves illustrateing subsequent enhanced treatment-free survival among 73 patients with CD in patients with US-CD ≥6 or not. (D) Kaplan-Meier curves illustrating subsequent surgery-free survival among 73 patients with CD in patients with US-CD ≥8 or not. aP-values for Kaplan-Meier analysis were calculated using log-rank test.


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