Osong Public Health Res Perspect.  2011 Sep;2(2):135-140. 10.1016/j.phrp.2011.08.004.

A Note on Obesity as Epidemic in Korea

Affiliations
  • 1Department of Mathematics, Kyungpook National University, Daegu, Korea
  • 2Division of Epidemic Intelligence Service, Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Osong, Korea

Abstract


Objective
To analyze the incidence of obesity in adults aged 19–59 years in Korea and predict its trend in the future.
Methods
We considered a two-compartmental deterministic mathematical model Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS), a system of difference equations, to predict the evolution of obesity in the population and to propose strategies to reduce its incidence.
Results
The prevention strategy on normal-weight individuals produced a greater improvement than that produced by treatment strategies.
Conclusions
Mathematical model sensitivity analysis suggests that obesity prevention strategies are more effective than obesity treatment strategies in controlling the increase of adult obesity in Korea.

Keyword

epidemic; mathematical modeling; obesity; stability
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