Korean J Gastroenterol.  2011 Jan;57(1):19-27. 10.4166/kjg.2011.57.1.19.

Validation of P2/MS and Other Noninvasive Fibrosis Scoring Systems in the Korean Population with Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

Affiliations
  • 1Department of Internal Medicine and Liver Research Institute, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
  • 2Department of Internal Medicine and Healthcare Research Institute, Seoul National University Hospital, Healthcare System Gangnam Center, Seoul, Korea. messmd@chol.com
  • 3Department of Pathology, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.

Abstract

BACKGROUND/AIMS
P2/MS is a noninvasive marker for detecting hepatic fibrosis in patients with viral hepatitis. However, the applicability of P2/MS in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has not yet been validated. This study aimed to validate P2/MS and compare it to other noninvasive fibrosis scoring systems in Korean patients with NAFLD.
METHODS
Consecutive patients who underwent liver biopsy between January 2002 and December 2009 at Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Korea were enrolled in this study. Fibrosis stage was determined using the METAVIR scoring system.
RESULTS
A total of 235 patients were included in the study: advanced fibrosis (METAVIR F3-F4) was present in 7 patients. No patient was over-staged among 162 patients with a P2/MS score above the high cut-off (95), resulting in a high negative predictive value (NPV) of 100% (95% confidence interval, 97.1-100). There was no significant difference between the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of the FIB-4 (0.964) and the AUROC of the NAFLD fibrosis score (0.964) or P2/MS (0.940) for detecting advanced fibrosis. If P2/MS was implemented in the Korean patients with NAFLD, 68.9% of liver biopsies might be avoided.
CONCLUSIONS
P2/MS has a high NPV for excluding advanced fibrosis in Korean patients with NAFLD, and can reduce the burden of liver biopsy in the majority of cases. Since there were few patients with advanced fibrosis, further studies are warranted in a cohort including more patients with advanced fibrosis to validate the low cut-off value.

Keyword

Fatty liver; Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease; Liver fibrosis

MeSH Terms

Adult
Aged
Alanine Transaminase/blood
Area Under Curve
Aspartate Aminotransferases/blood
*Blood Cell Count
Diagnosis, Differential
Fatty Liver/complications/diagnosis/pathology
Female
Humans
Liver Cirrhosis/complications/*diagnosis/pathology
Male
Middle Aged
Monocytes/cytology
Neutrophils/cytology
Platelet Count
Predictive Value of Tests
ROC Curve
Republic of Korea
Severity of Illness Index

Figure

  • Fig. 1. Comparisons of the ROC of P2/MS and other noninvasive fibrosis scoring systems for the diagnosis of advanced fibrosis (defined as METAVIR F3-F4). (A) P2/MS versus FIB-4 and (B) P2/MS versus NAFLD fibrosis score.

  • Fig. 2. Scatter plot of noninvasive fibrosis scoring systems versus pathologically determined fibrosis stage. Fibrosis stage was determined using the METAVIR scoring system.25 Circles represent the values of each noninvasive fibrosis scoring systems. The solid line represents a trend-line. (A) P2/MS values showed a significant inverse correlation with the METAVIR fibrosis stage (Spearman's correlation coefficient=−0.127, p<0.001), (B) FIB-4 scores showed a significant inverse correlation with the METAVIR fibrosis stage (Spearman's correlation coefficient=0.235, p<0.001), (C) NAFLD fibrosis score values showed a significant inverse correlation with the METAVIR fibrosis stage (Spearman's correlation coefficient= 0.263, p<0.001).


Reference

References

1. Wong VW, Wong GL, Chim AM, et al. Validation of the NAFLD fibrosis score in a Chinese population with low prevalence of advanced fibrosis. Am J Gastroenterol. 2008; 103:1682–1688.
Article
2. Targher G, Bertolini L, Padovani R, Zenari L, Zoppini G, Falezza G. Relation of nonalcoholic hepatic steatosis to early carotid atherosclerosis in healthy men: role of visceral fat accumulation. Diabetes Care. 2004; 27:2498–2500.
3. Ko JS. Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. Korean J Gastroenterol. 2010; 56:6–14.
Article
4. Guha IN, Parkes J, Roderick P, et al. Noninvasive markers of fibrosis in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease: Validating the European Liver Fibrosis Panel and exploring simple markers. Hepatology. 2008; 47:455–460.
Article
5. Starley BQ, Calcagno CJ, Harrison SA. Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and hepatocellular carcinoma: a weighty connection. Hepatology. 2010; 51:1820–1832.
Article
6. Adams LA, Sanderson S, Lindor KD, Angulo P. The histological course of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease: a longitudinal study of 103 patients with sequential liver biopsies. J Hepatol. 2005; 42:132–138.
Article
7. Ekstedt M, Franzén LE, Mathiesen UL, et al. Longterm follow-up of patients with NAFLD and elevated liver enzymes. Hepatology. 2006; 44:865–873.
Article
8. Angulo P, Hui JM, Marchesini G, et al. The NAFLD fibrosis score: a noninvasive system that identifies liver fibrosis in patients with NAFLD. Hepatology. 2007; 45:846–854.
Article
9. Bedossa P, Dargère D, Paradis V. Sampling variability of liver fibrosis in chronic hepatitis C. Hepatology. 2003; 38:1449–1457.
Article
10. Ratziu V, Charlotte F, Heurtier A, et al. Sampling variability of liver biopsy in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. Gastroenterology. 2005; 128:1898–1906.
Article
11. Grattagliano I, D'Ambrosio G, Palmieri VO, Moschetta A, Palasciano G, Portincasa P. "Steatostop Project" Group. Improving nonalcoholic fatty liver disease management by general practitioners: a critical evaluation and impact of an educational training program. J Gastrointestin Liver Dis. 2008; 17:389–394.
12. McPherson S, Stewart SF, Henderson E, Burt AD, Day CP. Simple non-invasive fibrosis scoring systems can reliably exclude advanced fibrosis in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. Gut. 2010; 59:1265–1269.
Article
13. Williams AL, Hoofnagle JH. Ratio of serum aspartate to alanine aminotransferase in chronic hepatitis. Relationship to cirrhosis. Gastroenterology. 1988; 95:734–739.
Article
14. Bourliere M, Penaranda G, Renou C, et al. Validation and comparison of indexes for fibrosis and cirrhosis prediction in chronic hepatitis C patients: proposal for a pragmatic approach classification without liver biopsies. J Viral Hepat. 2006; 13:659–670.
Article
15. Borroni G, Ceriani R, Cazzaniga M, et al. Comparison of simple tests for the non-invasive diagnosis of clinically silent cirrhosis in chronic hepatitis C. Aliment Pharmacol Ther. 2006; 24:797–804.
Article
16. Blonsky JJ, Harrison SA. Review article: nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and hepatitis C virus–partners in crime. Aliment Pharmacol Ther. 2008; 27:855–865.
17. Islam S, Antonsson L, Westin J, Lagging M. Cirrhosis in hepatitis C virus-infected patients can be excluded using an index of standard biochemical serum markers. Scand J Gastroenterol. 2005; 40:867–872.
Article
18. Bonacini M, Hadi G, Govindarajan S, Lindsay KL. Utility of a discriminant score for diagnosing advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus infection. Am J Gastroenterol. 1997; 92:1302–1304.
19. Sterling RK, Lissen E, Clumeck N, et al. Development of a simple noninvasive index to predict significant fibrosis in patients with HIV/HCV coinfection. Hepatology. 2006; 43:1317–1325.
Article
20. Wong VW, Hui AY, Tsang SW, et al. Metabolic and adi-pokine profile of Chinese patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2006; 4:1154–1161.
Article
21. Lee JH, Yoon JH, Lee CH, et al. Complete blood count reflects the degree of oesophageal varices and liver fibrosis in virus-related chronic liver disease patients. J Viral Hepat. 2009; 16:444–452.
Article
22. Kim BK, Han KH, Park JY, et al. External validation of P2/MS and comparison with other simple non-invasive indices for predicting liver fibrosis in HBV-infected patients. Dig Dis Sci. 2010; 55:2636–2643.
Article
23. Kim BK, Han KH, Park JY, et al. Prospective validation of P2/MS noninvasive index using complete blood counts for detecting oesophageal varices in B-viral cirrhosis. Liver Int. 2010; 30:860–866.
Article
24. Schwimmer JB, Behling C, Newbury R, et al. Histopathology of pediatric nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. Hepatology. 2005; 42:641–649.
Article
25. Bedossa P, Poynard T. An algorithm for the grading of activity in chronic hepatitis C. The METAVIR Cooperative Study Group. Hepatology. 1996; 24:289–293.
26. Kleiner DE, Brunt EM, Van Natta M, et al. Design and validation of a histological scoring system for non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. Hepatology. 2005; 41:1313–1321.
Article
27. Hanley JA, McNeil BJ. A method of comparing the areas under receiver operating characteristic curves derived from the same cases. Radiology. 1983; 148:839–843.
Article
28. Shah AG, Lydecker A, Murray K, Tetri BN, Contos MJ, Sanyal AJ. Nash Clinical Research Network. Comparison of noninvasive markers of fibrosis in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2009; 7:1104–1112.
Article
29. Matsumura H, Moriyama M, Goto I, Tanaka N, Okubo H, Arakawa Y. Natural course of progression of liver fibrosis in Japanese patients with chronic liver disease type Ca study of 527 patients at one establishment. J Viral Hepat. 2000; 7:268–275.
30. Mofrad P, Contos MJ, Haque M, et al. Clinical and histologic spectrum of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease associated with normal ALT values. Hepatology. 2003; 37:1286–1292.
Article
31. Vallet-Pichard A, Mallet V, Nalpas B, et al. FIB-4: an inexpensive and accurate marker of fibrosis in HCV infection. comparison with liver biopsy and fibrotest. Hepatology. 2007; 46:32–36.
Article
32. Malik A, Cheah PL, Hilmi IN, Chan SP, Goh KL. Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease in Malaysia: a demographic, anthropometric, metabolic and histological study. J Dig Dis. 2007; 8:58–64.
Article
33. Tsang SW, Ng WF, Wu BP, Chow DA, Li ET, Wong TC. Predictors of fibrosis in Asian patients with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis. J Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2006; 21:116–121.
Article
34. Calès P, Boursier J, Chaigneau J, et al. Diagnosis of different liver fibrosis characteristics by blood tests in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. Liver Int. 2010; 30:1346–1354.
Article
Full Text Links
  • KJG
Actions
Cited
CITED
export Copy
Close
Share
  • Twitter
  • Facebook
Similar articles
Copyright © 2024 by Korean Association of Medical Journal Editors. All rights reserved.     E-mail: koreamed@kamje.or.kr