J Vet Sci.  2023 Mar;24(2):e21. 10.4142/jvs.22262.

Mechanistic modelling for African swine fever transmission in the Republic of Korea

Affiliations
  • 1College of Veterinary Medicine and Institute of Veterinary Science, Kangwon National University, Chuncheon 24341, Korea
  • 2IHAP, Université de Toulouse, INRAE, ENVT, Toulouse 31300, France

Abstract

Under the current African swine fever (ASF) epidemic situation, a science-based ASF-control strategy is required. An ASF transmission mechanistic model can be used to understand the disease transmission dynamics among susceptible epidemiological units and evaluate the effectiveness of an ASF-control strategy by simulating disease spread results with different control options. The force of infection, which is the probability that a susceptible epidemiological unit becomes infected, could be estimated by applying an ASF transmission mechanistic model. The government needs to plan an ASF-control strategy based on an ASF transmission mechanistic model.

Keyword

Wild boar; swine; epidemiological models
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